10* Jays runline (ASSASSIN)

We feel that Toronto is really undervalued here. That brings extra value to the runline option overall in our opinion. The Dodgers are 16-11 overall, while Toronto is 13-12. LA has won four straight now after winning three in a row in the Nation's capital this week. Now though travelling North of the border, we're expecting a small step back. Toronto enters on the other end of the spectrum, as it's now lost three straight after falling 2-1 in five innings at KC last night. The Jays have the clear starting pitching matchup in their favor though, with Gavin Stone (1-1, 6.00 ERA) going for the Dodgers, and Chris Bassitt (2-3, 3.90) countering for the home side. For all the reasons listed above, the play is Toronto on the runline option!

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10* UNDER Oilers/Kings (TOTAL BLOOD-BATH)

The first two games of this series have flown well "over" the number, but we're anticipating a much tighter defensive affair here now that the venue has shifted to the West Coast. Edmonton won Game 1 by a score of 7-4, and hten LA bounced back with the 5-4 OT victory in Game 2. Note though that Edmonton has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 11 in trying to avenge a road loss vs. an opponent. We think fatigue will also now play a factor here as the series wears on. With each team doubling down defensively like we're suspecting in this one to try and get the upperhand in this series, everything does indeed point to a lower-scoring defensive battle; the play is the "under!" 

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10* UNDER Jets/Avs (TOTAL BOB)

The first two games of this series have flown "over" the number, but now with the shift in venue, we're anticipating a much more defensive affair here. Fatigue now at this part of the series takes effect. Altitude in Colorado is a factor. Also note that the Jets have seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 11 in trying to avenge a two goals or greater home loss vs. an opponent. Game 3 in Colorado shapes up to be a defensive goaltenders battle in our opinion; this number is indeed high, the play is the "under!" 

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10* Suns (BLOCKBUSTER)

We think that a little "home cooking" will turn the tide in this series, as we're expecting the Suns to not only win this essentially must-win Game 3, but to do so by a sizeable margin. Phoenix has in fact responded well in this spot for bettors by going 8-4 ATS in its last 12 in trying to avenge two or more straight losses against an opponent. The Suns were a lot better at home this year as well, finishing with a 24-16 record. Minnesota has looked solid so far, but we're cautious here with its first game in the playoffs away from friendly confines. A 3-0 hole will be just too big for Phoenix to climb out of; with the home side risking life and limb, the play is indeed on the Suns!

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10* OVER Clippers/Mavericks (SUPER TOTAL)

The first two games of this series have gone "under" the number, but now with the shift in venue we're anticipating these talented offensive teams to finally eclipse what we feel is now a really low number. Note that LA has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 11 as well in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss vs. an opponent in which it was held to 95 or fewer points in. Dallas was 25-16 at home, while LA was 26-15 on the road. All signs once again point to a very competitive affair here in Game 3, but this time a high-scoring one; this number is low, the play is the "over!" 

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10* Jays runline (ASSASSIN)

After getting blown out in yesterday's series opener by a score of 12-2, we're expecting Toronto to be much more competitive here on Saturday. It was the Jays' fourth straight loss. It was LA's fifth straight win. Tyler Glasnow is 4-1 with a 2.92 ERA for the Dodgers, while Yusei Kikuchi is 2-1 with a 2.28 ERA for the Jays. We expect Kikuchi to match his counterpart inning for inning, and in a scenario like that it's the undervalued home dog that does indeed become the savvy wager in our estimation; while the outright is clearly possible, our official call is Toronton the runline option!

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10* Lightning (PLAYOFF PAY-OFF)

Florida is no longer the red-headed step-child in this in-state rivarly, as the Lightning are now on the ropes down 0-3. The hardest game to in a seven games series is the fourth one though, and in our opinion, the Panthers are finally poised for a letdown here. Note that Tampa is 7-3 in its last ten in trying to avenge a home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. Tampa is still 25-12-4-1 at home this year. We say there's no way the Bolts get swept in this series. Florida packs up the tents early we're expecting, and then wraps this one up at home in Game 5; the play is Tampa!

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10* Pelicans (ASSASSIN)

We feel that home floor advantage will prove to be just that for the 0-2 Pelicans finally here on Saturday afternoon. An 0-3 hole would be too big to climb out of obviously, so this is the biggest game of the year for New Orleans. OKC was 24-17 on the road this year, while New Orleans was 22-20 at home. Regardless, it's significant to note that the Pelicans are in fact 4-1 ATS in their last five in trying to avenge two or more straight losses against an opponent. Yes, Zion Williamson is out for this series, but CJ McCollum and Brandon Ingram are going to respond in our opinion. There's no way the Pels are getting swept, as really the Thunder have been anything but impressive to us over these first two games. We just expected more. The Pels shoot over 37 percent from range at home, and we expect that to come into play here as well; grab as many points as you can here in Game 3, the play is on New Orleans!

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